It is common knowledge that COVID-19 isn’t going away. Even the Biden administration’s 200-page document called “National Strategy For The COVID-19 Response And Pandemic Preparedness” didn’t have any mention of the day Americans will say goodbye to coronavirus. Also Read: COVID-19 – Misleading information on coronavirus vaccine, infertility and miscarriage worries health authorities
COVID-19 Vaccination drive is on, cases are falling in the US despite the presence of new COVID strains, hospitalizations have dipped but experts unanimously believe that the world will have to live with the SARS-CoV-2. With the virus not going away, the world has to decide on the level of risk it is willing to live with. Also Read: Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19 vaccine 85% effective after single shot, no longer needs ultra-cold storage
But, when can we assume to have the virus under control: COVID-19 pandemic experts believe people can walk freely when we have fewer than 100 deaths or 5,000 new cases a day.
Why 100 deaths a day? The number comes close to the average death toll from the flu virus in the US. According to Joseph Eisenberg, an epidemiologist at the University of Michigan, influenza kills 20,000 to 50,000 Americans annually or approximately 55 to 140 deaths a day. Also Read: COVID-19 pandemic: Learn to live with coronavirus as new variant is on course to ‘sweep the world’
Brutal truth about the end of COVID-19: We are nowhere near 100-150 deaths a day. The number of COVID-related deaths on February 23 was 2,196 with 67,879 daily cases!
- The ‘influenza test’ is also not error-free as flu-related deaths are not reported directly to CDC, unlike COVID-related deaths. Also, the number of COVID-19 tests done daily are far more when compared to influenza.
What’re they saying: Monica Gandhi, an infectious-disease specialist at UC San Francisco, says, “Fewer than 100 deaths a day – to mirror the typical mortality of influenza in the U.S. over a typical year – is an appropriate goal.”
Alexis Madrigal, staff writer at The Atlantic and a co-founder of the COVID Tracking Project writes, “Just as the country has never taken a unified approach to battling COVID-19, we may very well end up without a unified approach to deciding when it ends.”